Mercifully, Election Day —
and an end to all the snarky campaign banter — is just over a week away. Unlike
four years ago, the outcome is in doubt. Barack Obama rode a wave of hope and excitement
to the White House in 2008. However, even ardent supporters are muted this time
around, and many have abandoned the president altogether.
Obama has failed to deliver
on promises to turn the economy around, and just as with many other recent presidential
campaigns, this one likely will hinge on how voters believe they will be
impacted in their pocketbooks. Despite being in office for four years, Obama
continues to blame President Bush, Republican lawmakers and many others for the
faltering economy and even escalating deficit. As we’ve seen with the deaths of
U.S. embassy personnel Libya, the president refuses to take blame for anything
that goes wrong under his watch. A little humility might win him some votes.
Mitt Romney has ridden a
wave of anti-Obama sentiment, but has failed to fully capitalize because he
still has plenty of sticky issues. By repeating the same lines for three
debates he appears robotic. Many see him primarily as a rich
businessman-turned-politician out of touch with the problems of common folk.
And he is yet another old white guy nominated by the GOP, albeit healthier than
his predecessors.
In addition to the economy,
the election will be determined by which party better motivates voters to get
to the polls. An unenthusiastic base could spell trouble for Obama, if millions
decide to skip voting rather than reward him for another four years of
mediocrity. For Romney, it will depend on energizing evangelical voters, many
of whom would have to ignore their beliefs that Mormonism is an aberrant
religion.
I’ve talked to several people
who don’t think it matters who is in the White House, although obviously these
men paint starkly different portraits of America’s future. I can’t really blame
a jaded electorate. The candidates have spent months not so much spelling out
what they would do in the next four years, but instead focusing on how to best
demean the opponent.